OptixPlot | SA (R4) 2026-10-24

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

Live Odds

Double Odds

Your Ratings

Focus Ratings

Fair Odds

Edge

Insights

VODKA VODKA

VAN DYKE DRAYDEN

ORDONEZ AGGIE

SUPERFECTA

Reasoning: [h:1-VODKA VODKA] is hampered by circle shapes on both Standard and Surface/Distance plots, signaling subpar late pace capability. With an overall neutral run style validation and low velocity placement, he is unlikely to impact the win picture.

Downsides: He displays large negative circle shapes and a run style mismatch on the Surface/Distance plot, making him one-paced.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

Entering on regular 28-day spacing indicates continuous training, though his current form lacks strong upside signals.

Race 2 of cycle: Running within 28 days of his previous effort places him in the middle of his ongoing form cycle.

Speed

Negative

Below-average velocity markers across early and late stages indicate he lacks the acceleration needed to pass rivals in the lane.

Plot

Negative

Plots in Quadrant 4 on Standard and Quadrant 3 on Surface/Distance with circles on both maps. His [rs:P:fail] validation at today's distance indicates a conflicting running profile.

Class

Negative

He appears somewhat stretched against the sharper contenders in this field and will need race attrition to factor.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	9f 7f 9f	SA 9/26/26 R8 DMR 8/29/26 R9 SUN 4/5/26 R11	Goodwood-G1 POBrien-G2 SunlndPkB250k	C C+ B	58 86 97	8 7 1	NASAL_S,SAVED,TROUBLE,NO_KEEP,NO_PUSH TROUBLE_S,FREE,MOVE NASAL_S,TROUBLE_S,RUSH,WIDE,BOS	oG:3LO:THIRD START after 45+ day LAYOFF:thisrace-28-28-146	-1.17	-1.11	0.93	-1.35	.-. -

MALARCHUK

RISPOLI UMBERTO

MCCARTHY MICHAEL W

TIER 2+

Reasoning: [h:2-MALARCHUK] displays an exceptional OptixPLOT profile, charting in Quadrant 1 with large square finishing power on both Standard and Surface/Distance maps. Holding a validated [rs:EP:pass] running style, he projects to control or sit comfortably on the sharp early pace with proven stamina. Without recent graded notes or index figures available, he sits atop the field strictly on superior geometric suitability.

Downsides: Returning off a 63-day freshening, he must withstand the projected very fast early pace without succumbing to pressure from inside or outside pace rivals.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

The horse returns from a 63-day break, which initiates a fresh short-term form cycle. Spacing is adequate for a fresh performance, though without past race details, progression remains to be proven on track.

Race 1 of cycle: A 63-day layoff exceeds the 45-day threshold, establishing this race as the first start of a new form cycle.

Speed

Positive

His large positive late pace score and strong mid-race velocity suggest he can sustain fractions that would compromise lesser speed horses.

Plot

Positive

[h:2-MALARCHUK] plots prominently in Quadrant 1 as a dominant square on both Standard and Surface/Distance views. His [rs:EP:pass] designation ensures an optimal forward trip that aligns perfectly with his natural run style.

Class

Neutral

While numerical class indexes are not provided, this runner enters a competitive allowance/optional claiming level where his tactical speed should prove capable.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	10f 10f 9f	DMR 8/22/26 R10 SA 5/25/26 R5 SUN 4/5/26 R11	PacifcCl-G1 GoldCup-G2 SunlndPkB250k	C+ B- B-	96 97 95	6 2 2	TROUBLE-,SHUFFLE,WIDE NASAL_S,PERFECT,NO_KEEP GATE,PRESSED,SAVED,TURF?	oN:RW2:RED KEYWORDS in 2nd RACE back:1\|PERFECT*oG:NTEP:Last Race HIGHEST 4f Pace in last 48 months and at or above today's 4f Pace Par:99:Par=89:99\|91\|95\|88\|90\|71\|83\|78\|88\|77\|70	0.97	0.72	0.93	2.62	.-. -b

ARROWTHEGREAT

AYUSO ARMANDO

BLACKER DANIEL

TIER 3+

Reasoning: [h:3-ARROWTHEGREAT] shows tactical forward speed from Quadrant 1 with a validated [rs:EP:pass] profile. However, while he is a square on the Standard plot, he downgrades to a circle on the Surface/Distance plot, indicating potential vulnerability in late stamina compared to [h:2-MALARCHUK].

Downsides: The drop to a circle on the Surface/Distance plot suggests he may flatten out late if contested through rapid early fractions.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

He enters off a 55-day freshening, marking the beginning of a new form cycle. He projects to show good initial energy off the bench.

Race 1 of cycle: The 55-day interval between starts exceeds the 45-day marker, resetting his form cycle for this outing.

Speed

Neutral

His early and mid-race velocity figures are strong, but his negative late pace rating on the Surface/Distance view leaves him susceptible late.

Plot

Neutral

Positions in Quadrant 1 on both plots, aligning with his [rs:EP:pass] run style. The shift from a square on Standard to a circle on Surface/Distance highlights a slight finishing deficit at today's distance.

Class

Neutral

He matches the class requirements for this condition, though he must prove he can outstay his main pace rival.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 8f	DMR 8/30/26 R9 EMD 8/17/25 R9 DMR 7/27/25 R2	OClm 100000b LgaMileL125k OClm 80000b	B B B	100 92 100	1 1 2	TACTIC+,TROUBLE_S,RUSH,SAVED,MOVE WARM,SAVED,NO_LEAD,MOVE WARM_UP,RUSH,PRESSED,SAVED,OTHER,BLANKET	oN:RW1:RED KEYWORDS in last RACE:1\|TACTIC+*oX:2WIN:WON last 2 or more races IN A ROW:2:1\|1\|2	0.35	1.58	-1.3	0.63	.-. -b

MR. A. P.

JARAMILLO E

CERIN VLADIMIR

1.8

TIER 2

Reasoning: [h:4-MR. A. P.] is very favorably positioned to benefit from the projected fast early pace scenario. Plotting as a square in Quadrant 4 on Standard and Quadrant 2 on Surface/Distance with an ideal [rs:PC:pass] running style, he has the late punch to close into the leaders.

Downsides: He will need an unobstructed outside journey and must rely on the frontrunners going fast enough early to set up his late kick.

Assessment

Form

Positive

Racing back on 28 days of rest indicates a horse in active, regular training. Form cycle progression appears steady based on standard spacing.

Race 2 of cycle: With a 28-day gap from his previous start, he remains well within his active short-term form cycle.

Speed

Positive

Square geometry demonstrates positive late pace capability relative to the field, making him the prime beneficiary if the Quadrant 1 runners overextend early.

Plot

Positive

Charts in Quadrant 4 on Standard and Quadrant 2 on Surface/Distance, displaying square shapes across both views. His [rs:PC:pass] profile is perfectly tailored for a race featuring elevated early pace pressure.

Class

Neutral

He appears properly placed at today's level and should find conditions suitable to run his competitive race.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D T T	9f 8f 8.5f	SA 9/26/26 R8 KD 9/7/26 R9 DMR 8/13/26 R1	Goodwood-G1 GnRunnerL1750k OClm 80000n1x	B- C+ B	99 77 97	4 9 1	NASAL_S,SAVED,OTHER NASAL_S,TACTIC-,SHUFFLE,WIDE,TROUBLE- NASAL_S,WARM,PERFECT,RUSH,NO_COVER,MOVE	oN:TG30:IMPROVED TRIPGRADE over last 30 DAYS:1 levels:Grades=C+ to B-*oN:RW3:RED KEYWORDS in 3rd RACE back:1\|PERFECT	0.76	0.5	-0.19	1.07	.-. -

INDISPENSABLE

HERNANDEZ JUAN J

SADLER JOHN W

TOSS

Reasoning: [h:INDISPENSABLE] carries an overall [rs:EP:fail] run style validation, failing to match his preferred early pace running style on either plot. Plotting deep in Quadrant 4 with large circles on both Standard and Surface/Distance maps, he faces a severe structural disadvantage.

Downsides: A complete run-style failure combined with weak finishing metrics and inferior positioning makes him an extreme longshot to contend.

Assessment

Form

Negative

Off 55 days, he begins a new form cycle, but poor underlying plot alignment provides little reason to anticipate a sudden rebound.

Race 1 of cycle: A 55-day gap between races resets his short-term form cycle to race count one.

Speed

Negative

Lagging figures across both mid-race velocity and late pace leave him well adrift of the required standard to be competitive.

Plot

Negative

He sits deep in Quadrant 4 on both views as a pronounced circle. His double fail run style validation ([rs:EP:fail] on Standard and [rs:EP:fail] on Surface/Distance) is a severe negative.

Class

Negative

He projects as overmatched under these conditions without evidence of class resilience.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 8.5f	DMR 8/30/26 R9 DMR 7/25/26 R8 SA 12/28/25 R6	OClm 100000b OClm 100000n2x LPncayJr-G2	C+ C+ C	91 85 90	6 4 6	FREE,WIDE,PLODDY,ROUTER SLOG,SAVED,MOVE WARM,TROUBLE_S,RUSH,WIDE,DROP?		-0.72	-1.01	0.93	-0.8	.-. -b

LYELL'S SONG

LEZCANO ABEL

GLATT MARK

TIER 3

Reasoning: [h:6-LYELL'S SONG] plots in Quadrant 2 with a validated [rs:EP:pass] running style, giving him an outside tracking position. Like others, he exhibits a square on Standard but regresses to a circle on Surface/Distance, tempering his win probability.

Downsides: A negative finishing shape on the Surface/Distance map and outside tracking position may leave him with too much work to do against sharper pace rivals.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

Entering off a 55-day absence, he starts fresh in a new cycle. Fitness should be sufficient, but forward developmental improvement is required.

Race 1 of cycle: Returning with a 55-day spacing creates the first start of a newly established form cycle.

Speed

Neutral

Mid-pack velocity figures are viable, but his late pace metrics decline under route conditions on dirt.

Plot

Neutral

Located in Quadrant 2 on both plots, matching his tactical run style cleanly. The negative late pace indicator on the Surface/Distance view limits his overall ceiling.

Class

Neutral

He fits the baseline class profile of the race but lacks obvious indicators of class superiority.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 8f	DMR 8/30/26 R9 DMR 9/6/25 R8 DMR 8/9/25 R6	OClm 100000b OClm 50000n1x OClm 50000n1x	B- B B	95 94 95	4 1 2	COVER,MOVE,FLOW,DROP? COVER,MOVE,HOT,TURF? SAVED,MOVE,GRIT-,OTHER		-0.11	-0.68	-1.3	-2.09	.-. -b

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