OptixPlot | SA (R2) 2026-10-24

Horse

Jockey

Trainer

Live Odds

Double Odds

Your Ratings

Focus Ratings

Fair Odds

Edge

Insights

MAD PURSUIT

MALDONADO E

BALTAS RICHARD

TRIFECTA

Reasoning: [h:1-MAD PURSUIT] holds sharp early speed from the rail to secure position in the upper-left quadrant. However, his circle shape indicates weak late pace, leaving him vulnerable to being run down in the final furlong.

Downsides: Stuck inside against a projected fast pace while carrying a negative late pace circle.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

Returns on short rest with 22 days since his last race, representing a continuing short-term form cycle. He retains fitness but may be peaking or vulnerable to regression under intense pressure.

Race 2 of cycle: Entering on 22 days rest within a sequence where spacing remains under the 45-day threshold.

Speed

Negative

Displays swift early pace figures, but his late pace drops off substantially. In a race projected to fall apart late, his speed figure profile is fragile.

Plot

Negative

Plots in the upper-left quadrant as a circle on both standard and surface-distance maps. The circle geometry combined with rail position makes him a prime target for closers.

Class

Neutral

Holds his own from a class standpoint against straight maidens, though his inability to finish strong caps his win ceiling.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
T T D	6f 5f 6.5f	SA 10/2/26 R5 DMR 8/21/26 R5 SA 12/29/25 R4	Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt	C C+ C	67 75 59	7 4 5	NASAL_S,WARM,RUSH,COVER,TROUBLE- SLOG,COVER NASAL_S,WARM,TACTIC-,RUSH,TROUBLE-	oG:3LO:THIRD START after 45+ day LAYOFF:thisrace-22-42-235	-0.48	-0.47	-0.19	-1.14	.-. L-

SAUCIER

AYUSO ARMANDO

POWELL LEONARD

TIER 2-

Reasoning: [h:2-SAUCIER] displays excellent quadrant positioning in the upper left combined with a sturdy square shape. With an overall [rs:P:pass] validation, he can stalk comfortably inside and take first jump on the tiring pacesetters.

Downsides: Returning from a 79-day layoff and drawing an inside post where he could get pinned along the rail if out-broken.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

Commences a new form cycle following a 79-day layoff. While he may need this race to reach peak fitness, his foundational figures make him competitive off the bench.

Race 1 of cycle: A 79-day layoff marks this race as the opening event of his current cycle.

Speed

Neutral

Exhibits solid mid-race velocity and dependable late pace marks that surpass the circles in the field. He matches up well with the expected speed threshold.

Plot

Positive

Occupies upper-left quadrant positioning as an advantageous square on both views. His confirmed [rs:P:pass] profile supports an energy-efficient stalk-and-pounce trip.

Class

Neutral

Meets a standard maiden special weight field without an overwhelming class standout, offering him an equitable opportunity to contend.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	6.5f 6f 6.5f	DMR 8/6/26 R6 SA 5/31/26 R6 SA 5/2/26 R1	Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt	C+ C+ B-	79 75 88	8 3 2	NASAL_S,SAVED,COLD NASAL_S,PLODDY,WARM,STRETCH?,DROP? SAVED,MOVE	oN:DCL:Distance Change Longer after STRETCH? Projection within last 3 races:STRETCH?	0.93	1.61	-0.19	2.35	.-. L-b

RABID RESPONSE

PAYERAS EDGAR

BALTAS RICHARD

TIER 3

Reasoning: [h:3-RABID RESPONSE] plots as a deep-closing square in the lower right on the standard map, which matches the meltdown pace dynamic. However, the lack of an established surface-distance plot creates trip uncertainty.

Downsides: Lacks proven surface and distance plot metrics and returns from a 70-day layoff with unverified running style metrics.

Assessment

Form

Unknown

Initiates a new cycle following a 70-day hiatus. Form pattern is relatively unexposed, suggesting he could improve with racing maturity but faces fitness questions off the bench.

Race 1 of cycle: A 70-day absence resets his form cycle to race count one.

Speed

Neutral

Figures show late closing capability, though his overall speed baseline remains slightly unproven compared to the top contenders.

Plot

Neutral

Appears in the lower-right quadrant with a positive late pace square on the standard plot, but lacks a surface-distance projection. His unclassified run style adds variability.

Class

Neutral

Remains eligible for maiden conditions and meets no superior class threats. Has sufficient class pedigree to compete if he runs to his best late pace.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D T D	8f 8f 8f	DMR 8/15/26 R1 DMR 7/17/26 R10 DMR 11/14/25 R6	Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt	C+ C C	78 78 59	4 8 6	SAVED,MOVE NASAL_S,WIDE,DROP? WEATHER,NASAL_S,WIDE,DROP?	oG:NT:Last Race HIGHEST OptixFIG in last 48 months:78:78\|78\|59\|70\|72*oG:NTLP:Last Race HIGHEST Late Pace in last 48 months and at or above today's Late Pace Par:94:Par=88:94\|75\|67\|78\|67	-0.01	-0.36	-0.19	-0.56	.-. L-b

WOLF HILL

KIMURA KAZUSHI

POWELL LEONARD

0.8

TIER 2

Reasoning: [h:4-WOLF HILL] presents a very versatile profile plotting in the upper-left quadrant with an imposing square shape. Holding an overall [rs:PC:pass] run style, he has the mid-race velocity to track the hot pace while preserving ample late punch.

Downsides: Must navigate early traffic without getting sucked into a premature duel on the front end.

Assessment

Form

Neutral

Returns from a 55-day freshening to begin a fresh short-term cycle. Lightly raced with room to progress, he should show solid stamina stretching out over seven furlongs.

Race 1 of cycle: Layoff of 55 days designates this start as race one of a new form cycle.

Speed

Positive

Possesses a strong balance of early speed and late pace reserve. His pace figures indicate the ability to sit just off the furious fractions and sustain his momentum.

Plot

Positive

Features a prominent square in the upper-left quadrant on both standard and surface-distance views. His [rs:PC:pass] validation proves he can handle pressure and out-kick softer early speed types.

Class

Neutral

Fits cleanly within the maiden special weight structure. His tactical foundation suggests he is on par with the class par for today's group.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D D	8f 8f 8.5f	DMR 8/30/26 R7 DMR 8/15/26 R1 SA 6/13/26 R11	TrryPine-G3 Md Sp Wt SumrOaks-G3	C+ B- B-	81 82 86	4 2 2	NASAL_S,WARM,TACTIC-,WIDE,NO_PUSH,COLD NASAL_S,WARM,RUSH,COLD .		0.82	0.99	2.04	3.85	.-. L-

SLICE

HERNANDEZ JUAN J

MCCARTHY MICHAEL W

4.5

TIER 2+

Reasoning: [h:5-SLICE] gets the optimal race shape setup for today's projected meltdown pace. Sitting comfortably in the lower right quadrant with a solid finishing square and an overall [rs:C:pass] run style, he is poised to make a decisive sweeping run when the early pace collapses.

Downsides: He is dependent on a clean outside trip and needs the projected contested pace to materialize fully to avoid getting out-sprinted early.

Assessment

Form

Positive

Entering off a 49-day freshening, [h:5-SLICE] begins a new short-term cycle with sufficient foundation to fire fresh. His development indicates he should maintain or improve his closing kick under ideal distance conditions. Expect a forward move off the break.

Race 1 of cycle: The 49-day gap since his last outing triggers the start of a new short-term form cycle.

Speed

Positive

Carries reliable late pace figures that give him a marked edge during the final furlong of this seven-furlong sprint. His velocity distribution ensures he will be passing tiring rivals late.

Plot

Positive

Plots in the lower-right quadrant as an undeniable late-running square across both standard and surface-distance maps. His [rs:C:pass] running style aligns seamlessly with the projected meltdown race shape.

Class

Neutral

[h:5-SLICE] appears properly classed for this special weight condition. His competitive positioning suggests he fits smoothly against this field of maidens.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
D D T	6f 6.5f 8f	DMR 9/5/26 R3 DMR 8/6/26 R6 SA 5/30/26 R9	Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt	C+ C+ C	73 84 64	6 4 11	WARM,TROUBLE_S,SAVED,FREE SLOG,TROUBLE_S,SAVED,CLOSE,STRETCH? GATE,SAVED,COVER,TROUBLE-,DROP?		0.39	-0.36	-0.19	-0.16	.-. L-

MI FLECHA

LEZCANO ABEL

VALENZUELA MARTIN III

TOSS

Reasoning: [h:6-MI FLECHA] plots poorly in the lower-left quadrant as an exceptionally large circle on both standard and surface-distance charts. This position signifies early pace friction without the mid-pack velocity or late kick required to compete.

Downsides: Severe negative late pace circle in quadrant three and unvalidated running style profile.

Assessment

Form

Negative

Racing back in 22 days within his active cycle. Shows no demonstrable forward progression in velocity or finishing effort to warrant consideration.

Race 2 of cycle: Spacing of 22 days maintains continuity within the current form cycle.

Speed

Negative

Lacks early speed to clear and posts the slowest late pace velocity in the field. Does not meet the figure range needed to contend.

Plot

Negative

Languishes in the lower-left quadrant as a heavily oversized circle on both plots. This is the least favorable quadrant-shape combination and projects a severe pace-compromised journey.

Class

Negative

Appears overmatched at this maiden special weight level based on uncompetitive velocity metrics relative to par.

Surf	Dist	Race Keys	Race Class	oNg	oFIG	Fin	optixNOTES	OptixALERTS	Speed	Plot	Class	Optix TriMetric™	⚑
T T D	6f 5f 6.5f	SA 10/2/26 R5 DMR 8/21/26 R5 LRC 6/19/26 R5	Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt Md Sp Wt	C ZZ C	68 -99 29	6 7 6	WARM,SLOG,TROUBLE SLOG,TROUBLE_S,SAVED,OTHER RUSH,SAVED,NO_KEEP	oG:NT:Last Race HIGHEST OptixFIG in last 48 months:68:68\|-99\|29*oG:3LO:THIRD START after 45+ day LAYOFF:thisrace-22-42-63	-1.8	-1.4	-1.3	-4.5	.-. L-b

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